Thursday, July 31, 2008

Obama Ahead in Today's Electoral, Swing State, & CNN Polls

The graph above from shows the average of US polls showing the current percentage of voters voting for each candidate. The gray vertical lines show the boundaries between the months.

The graph above shows the current number of electoral votes collected for each candidate if the election were held today.

Strong Dem (197) - Bright Blue, Weak Dem (49) - Light Blue, Barely Dem (46) - Blue Outline Exactly tied (51) - White
Barely GOP (21) - Red Outline , Weak GOP (77) - Light Red, Strong GOP (97) - Bright Red

270 Electoral votes needed to win
Obama 292 McCain 195 Ties 51 Senate Dem 57 GOP 43 House Dem 240 GOP 195

Dem pickups (vs. 2004): CO IN IA MT NV NM GOP pickups (vs. 2004):(None)
The latest Quinnipiac Swing State Polls are out:
Florida: Obama leads McCain, 46% to 44%
Ohio: Obama leads McCain, 46% to 44%
Pennsylvania: Obama leads McCain, 49% to 42%
A new CNN/Opinion Research poll shows the presidential race has remained virtually unchanged since Sen. Barack Obama took his foreign trip, with Obama holding a 51% to 44% edge over Sen. John McCain."The new survey also suggests the trip -- carefully designed to burnish Obama's foreign policy credentials -- did little to alter voters' perceptions of how the Illinois senator would handle national security issues.""But in what is good news for Obama, the poll suggests few of the McCain campaign's criticisms of the trip have stuck -- especially charges Obama was presumptuously acting as if he had already won the election, and claims he nixed a visit with injured troops because members of the media could not accompany him."

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